Possible strategies for the implementation of WHO program on the elimination of hepatitis C in Ukraine by 2030.

Abstract

The article describes the model of natural history of hepatitis C virus the use of which makes it possible to assess the dynamics of the infected population from 2015 to 2030 in natural history and under the influence of the strategies of antiviral therapy, namely, the changes in the number of infected populations, the progression of the diseases, patients’ proportion with different stages of fibrosis and also the mortality which is associated with final stages of liver disease. In addition, there are estimated data on the number of the patients that are subject to annual diagnosing for treatment in accordance with specific therapy strategies which is necessary to achieve the results provided by the WHO program for the elimination of hepatitis C virus in Ukraine by 2030.